Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Gibraltar: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,334 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Gibraltar in 2025, 2.2% (95% range 1.5%–3.1%) were cancelled (12) or at least 3 hours late (about 17) — roughly 1 in 46. That is worse than 81% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,747 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 46flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,334
Cancelled12
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 17
On time or within 15 minutes80% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights15 minutes
Distance1,747 km (great circle, LHR–GIB)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow6710.9%0.4%–1.9%
To London Heathrow6633.4%2.3%–5.1%

Operated by British Airways (1,334 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,747 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Gibraltar.