Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Grand Cayman: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 517 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Grand Cayman in 2025, 1.7% (95% range 0.9%–3.3%) were cancelled (3) or at least 3 hours late (about 6) — roughly 1 in 58. That is worse than 73% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 7,719 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 58flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)517
Cancelled3
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 6
On time or within 15 minutes76% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights19 minutes
Distance7,719 km (great circle, LHR–GCM)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow2590.8%0.2%–2.8%
To London Heathrow2582.7%1.3%–5.5%

Operated by British Airways (517 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
7,719 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Grand Cayman.