Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Halifax: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 710 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Halifax in 2025, 4.3% (95% range 3.1%–6.1%) were cancelled (27) or at least 3 hours late (about 4) — roughly 1 in 23. That is worse than 95% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 4,585 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

4.3%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 23flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)710
Cancelled27
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 4
On time or within 15 minutes80% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights12 minutes
Distance4,585 km (great circle, LHR–YHZ)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow3554.8%3.0%–7.5%
To London Heathrow3553.9%2.3%–6.5%

Operated by Air Canada (710 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
4,585 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Halifax Int.