Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Larnaca: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,330 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Larnaca in 2025, 0.6% (95% range 0.4%–1.1%) were cancelled (5) or at least 3 hours late (about 10) — roughly 1 in 156. That is better than 76% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 3,278 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.6%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 156flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,330
Cancelled5
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 10
On time or within 15 minutes80% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights11 minutes
Distance3,278 km (great circle, LHR–LCA)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow1,1650.4%0.2%–1.0%
To London Heathrow1,1650.9%0.5%–1.6%

Operated by British Airways (2,330 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
3,278 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Larnaca.