Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Luxembourg: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,253 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Luxembourg in 2025, 1.5% (95% range 1.0%–2.4%) were cancelled (14) or at least 3 hours late (about 5) — roughly 1 in 66. That is worse than 66% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 514 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 66flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,253
Cancelled14
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 5
On time or within 15 minutes80% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights11 minutes
Distance514 km (great circle, LHR–LUX)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow6261.3%0.6%–2.5%
To London Heathrow6271.7%1.0%–3.1%

Operated by British Airways (1,253 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
514 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Luxembourg EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 4.5% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Luxembourg.