Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Lyon: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,720 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Lyon in 2025, 2.0% (95% range 1.5%–2.8%) were cancelled (26) or at least 3 hours late (about 9) — roughly 1 in 49. That is worse than 79% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 758 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.0%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 49flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,720
Cancelled26
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 9
On time or within 15 minutes81% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights12 minutes
Distance758 km (great circle, LHR–LYS)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow8601.7%1.1%–2.9%
To London Heathrow8602.3%1.5%–3.6%

Operated by British Airways (1,720 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
758 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Lyon-Saint-Exupéry EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.5% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Lyon.