Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Montreal: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,739 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Montreal in 2025, 3.5% (95% range 2.8%–4.5%) were cancelled (44) or at least 3 hours late (about 18) — roughly 1 in 28. That is worse than 92% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,215 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

3.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 28flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,739
Cancelled44
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 18
On time or within 15 minutes76% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights15 minutes
Distance5,215 km (great circle, LHR–YUL)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow8682.6%1.8%–3.9%
To London Heathrow8714.4%3.3%–6.0%

By airline

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Air Canada1,0344.2%3.2%–5.6%35
British Airways7052.5%1.6%–4.0%9

The 95% ranges overlap, so on this route no airline is clearly better or worse than another. Airlines with at least 100 scheduled flights on the route; operating companies are shown as the CAA lists them (for example easyJet UK and easyJet Europe), because that decides whether UK261 or EU261 applies.

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,215 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Montreal (Dorval).