Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Paris (Orly): how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 720 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Paris (Orly) in 2025, 1.4% (95% range 0.8%–2.5%) were cancelled (8) or at least 3 hours late (about 2) — roughly 1 in 72. That is worse than 61% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 365 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.4%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 72flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)720
Cancelled8
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 2
On time or within 15 minutes86% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights8 minutes
Distance365 km (great circle, LHR–ORY)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow3601.7%0.8%–3.6%
To London Heathrow3601.1%0.4%–2.8%

Operated by Vueling (720 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
365 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Paris-Orly EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 16% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Paris (Orly).