Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Perth (Australia): how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 732 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Perth (Australia) in 2025, 3.9% (95% range 2.7%–5.6%) were cancelled (8) or at least 3 hours late (about 21) — roughly 1 in 25. That is worse than 94% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 14,508 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

3.9%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 25flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)732
Cancelled8
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 21
On time or within 15 minutes81% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights27 minutes
Distance14,508 km (great circle, LHR–PER)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow3663.8%2.3%–6.3%
To London Heathrow3664.1%2.5%–6.6%

Operated by Qantas (732 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
14,508 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Perth (Australia).