Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Shannon: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,083 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Shannon in 2025, 1.5% (95% range 1.0%–2.1%) were cancelled (25) or at least 3 hours late (about 6) — roughly 1 in 67. That is worse than 65% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 594 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 67flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,083
Cancelled25
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 6
On time or within 15 minutes73% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights13 minutes
Distance594 km (great circle, LHR–SNN)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow1,0391.2%0.7%–2.1%
To London Heathrow1,0441.7%1.1%–2.7%

Operated by Aer Lingus (2,078 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
594 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at London Heathrow EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 32% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Shannon.