Airport Disruption Odds

London Heathrow – Valencia: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,004 scheduled flights between London Heathrow and Valencia in 2025, 0.9% (95% range 0.5%–1.7%) were cancelled (4) or at least 3 hours late (about 5) — roughly 1 in 112. That is better than 62% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,332 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.9%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 112flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,004
Cancelled4
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 5
On time or within 15 minutes74% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights15 minutes
Distance1,332 km (great circle, LHR–VLC)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From London Heathrow5020.8%0.3%–2.0%
To London Heathrow5021.0%0.4%–2.3%

Operated by British Airways (1,004 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,332 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Valencia EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.5% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Valencia.