Airport Disruption Odds

Newcastle – Bristol: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,172 scheduled flights between Newcastle and Bristol in 2025, 1.4% (95% range 0.9%–2.3%) were cancelled (16) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 69. That is worse than 64% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 412 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.4%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 69flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,172
Cancelled16
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes73% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights13 minutes
Distance412 km (great circle, NCL–BRS)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Newcastle5851.5%0.8%–2.9%
To Newcastle5871.4%0.7%–2.7%

Operated by easyJet UK (1,171 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
412 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Bristol EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 1.8% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Bristol.