Airport Disruption Odds

Newcastle – Dubai: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 728 scheduled flights between Newcastle and Dubai in 2025, 0.1% (95% range 0.0%–0.8%) were cancelled (0) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 728. That is better than 98% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,654 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.1%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 728flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)728
Cancelled0
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes78% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights10 minutes
Distance5,654 km (great circle, NCL–DXB)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Newcastle3640.3%0.0%–1.5%
To Newcastle3640.0%0.0%–1.0%

Operated by Emirates (728 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,654 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Caveats

CAA destination name: Dubai.