Airport Disruption Odds

Newcastle – Frankfurt: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 601 scheduled flights between Newcastle and Frankfurt in 2025, 1.5% (95% range 0.8%–2.8%) were cancelled (8) or at least 3 hours late (about 1) — roughly 1 in 67. That is worse than 65% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 888 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 67flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)601
Cancelled8
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 1
On time or within 15 minutes65% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights15 minutes
Distance888 km (great circle, NCL–FRA)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Newcastle3001.7%0.7%–3.8%
To Newcastle3011.3%0.5%–3.4%

Operated by Lufthansa (601 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
888 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Frankfurt EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 20% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Frankfurt Main.