Airport Disruption Odds

Newcastle – Tenerife South: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,639 scheduled flights between Newcastle and Tenerife South in 2025, 0.7% (95% range 0.4%–1.2%) were cancelled (1) or at least 3 hours late (about 10) — roughly 1 in 149. That is better than 74% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 3,232 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 149flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,639
Cancelled1
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 10
On time or within 15 minutes71% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights17 minutes
Distance3,232 km (great circle, NCL–TFS)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Newcastle8200.7%0.3%–1.6%
To Newcastle8190.6%0.3%–1.4%

By airline

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Jet29270.3%0.1%–0.9%1
TUI Airways4581.5%0.7%–3.1%0
Ryanair2540.4%0.1%–2.2%0

The 95% ranges overlap, so on this route no airline is clearly better or worse than another. Airlines with at least 100 scheduled flights on the route; operating companies are shown as the CAA lists them (for example easyJet UK and easyJet Europe), because that decides whether UK261 or EU261 applies.

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
3,232 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Tenerife Sur Reina Sofia EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.5% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Tenerife (Surreina Sofia).