Airport Disruption Odds

Southampton – Newcastle: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,307 scheduled flights between Southampton and Newcastle in 2025, 1.8% (95% range 1.2%–2.6%) were cancelled (17) or at least 3 hours late (about 6) — roughly 1 in 57. That is worse than 73% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 455 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.8%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 57flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,307
Cancelled17
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 6
On time or within 15 minutes89% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights8 minutes
Distance455 km (great circle, SOU–NCL)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Southampton6531.5%0.8%–2.8%
To Southampton6542.0%1.2%–3.4%

Operated by Loganair (1,307 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
455 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Southampton EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 0.3% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Newcastle.