Airport Disruption Odds

How often does weather delay flights at Manchester?

From January 2018 to September 2026, EUROCONTROL recorded arrival restrictions for weather (regulation reason W) at Manchester (MAN) on 121 of 3,195 days (3.8%). The worst month is January: 9% of days and 0.8 minutes of weather delay per arriving flight on average. Calmest: April, June, July (1% of days). Weather caused 36% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes at this airport. Source: EUROCONTROL.

Data: EUROCONTROL arrival regulation data, January 2018 – September 2026 · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

3.8%of days with weather restrictions on arrivals
0.16minutes of weather delay per arriving flight
36%of arrival-regulation delay caused by weather

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Month by month

MonthDays with weather restrictionsDays with ≥ 1 min per arrivalMinutes per arriving flight
January9%6%0.76
February4%3%0.15
March3%1%0.08
April1%0%0.04
May2%1%0.05
June1%0%0.00
July1%1%0.03
August2%0%0.01
September4%2%0.11
October5%2%0.14
November5%2%0.08
December9%5%0.70

Share of days on which EUROCONTROL's network manager limited arrivals because of weather at or around the airport (regulation reason W), 2018–2026. Minutes per arriving flight = weather-regulation delay ÷ all arrivals that month. Worst weeks of the year: week 53 (29%), week 2 (16%), week 48 (12%).

Year by year

YearDays with weather restrictionsMinutes per arriving flightArrivals
201823 of 3650.13100,622
201914 of 3650.08101,467
20207 of 3660.1333,271
20212 of 3650.1133,322
202218 of 3650.0679,268
202312 of 3650.0490,013
202415 of 3660.3098,215
202521 of 3650.36101,618
2026 (Jan–Sep)9 of 2730.0979,550

2020–2021: far fewer flights during the pandemic.

Weather among all causes

Cause of arrival regulationShare of delay minutes
Aerodrome capacity53%
Weather36%
Atc staffing6%
Air traffic control capacity2%

Causes with at least 2% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes, 2018–2026.

What the weather was like on those days

In the airport's weather reports (METAR, 05–21 UTC)Days with weather restrictionsOther daysRatio
Thunderstorm reported1.7%2.2%—
Fog or visibility under 800 m60%2.9%20.6×
Cloud base at or below 200 ft25%1.6%—
Gusts of 30 knots or more6.6%4.8%1.4×
Crosswind of 20 knots or more on the best runway2.5%0.5%—
Snow12%2.0%6.1×
Freezing rain or drizzle0.0%0.1%—

On 24% of the restriction days none of these showed up in the airport's own reports: restrictions are also set on forecasts, for weather on the approach or elsewhere in the area, and when the wind direction forces a less efficient runway layout. The weather is what came with the delays, not proof of their cause. Based on 3,195 days with full METAR coverage.

The heaviest days

Date and reported weatherWeather delay, minutesArrivalsMinutes per arrival
27 December 2024
Fog or visibility under 800 m
12,42323253.5
7 January 2025
Snow
9,60919449.5
28 December 2024
Cloud base at or below 200 ft
6,06526722.7
12 October 2025
Fog or visibility under 800 m; Cloud base at or below 200 ft
5,54626820.7
26 December 2024
Fog or visibility under 800 m; Cloud base at or below 200 ft
4,33521919.8

What these numbers cover