Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester: flights 3+ hours late or cancelled, by route

Of 185,355 scheduled flights to and from Manchester in 2025, 1.8% were cancelled or at least 3 hours late (95% range 1.72%–1.84%). Among its 92 busy routes (500+ flights), the worst was Bahrain (6.6%) and the best Rome (Ciampino) (0.3%). Source: UK CAA.

How it works ↓

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.8%3+ hours late or cancelled
185,355scheduled flights 2025
92routes with 500+ flights

Routes with 500+ flights, worst first

Route3h+ late or cancelledFlightskmUK261
Bahrain6.6%5255,262£520
Belfast City5.4%2,968274£220
Guernsey5.3%1,252436£220
New York JFK4.6%1,2945,362£520
Helsinki4.2%1,2541,812£350
Beijing Capital3.7%6128,093£520
Hamburg3.4%738811£220
Inverness3.3%724479£220
Isle of Man3.2%1,940174£220
Aberdeen3.0%1,958428£220
Newquay2.8%814373£220
Keflavik2.7%1,2691,653£350
Amsterdam2.6%7,715487£220
Geneva2.5%2,176992£220
Beauvais2.5%1,004529£220
Atlanta2.5%6086,581£520
Lisbon2.4%2,4341,702£350
Jersey2.4%539461£220
Orlando2.4%1,3736,804£520
Paris (Charles de Gaulle)2.4%5,448588£220
Berlin Brandenburg2.4%1,8141,063£220
Munich2.3%2,3751,130£220
Hong Kong2.3%6579,620£520
Sandefjord Torp2.2%7641,007£220
Brussels2.1%1,266536£220
Dublin2.1%9,412264£220
Cancún2.1%5807,794£520
Enfidha-Hammamet2.0%6942,160£350
Funchal2.0%7452,570£350
Hurghada2.0%1,0454,146£520
Charleroi2.0%1,931562£220
Sharm El Sheikh1.9%9194,108£520
Milan (Malpensa)1.9%1,6481,167£220
Kraków1.9%1,6011,556£350
Venice1.9%1,2311,367£220
Prague1.8%1,9391,192£220
Istanbul (Sabiha Gokcen)1.8%1,4192,729£350
Cologne Bonn1.8%835700£220
Nice1.8%6121,282£220
Barcelona1.8%3,4381,379£220
Agadir1.8%1,3002,625£350
Athens1.6%1,1002,637£350
Zurich1.6%2,0141,007£220
Belfast International1.6%3,807295£220
Copenhagen1.5%3,022995£220
Rhodes1.4%1,1263,007£350
Frankfurt1.4%2,819832£220
Naples1.4%9421,860£350
Dubai1.4%2,1995,656£520
Palma de Mallorca1.4%3,5241,581£350
Singapore1.3%52610,956£520
Heraklion1.3%9082,929£350
Rome (Fiumicino)1.3%7601,678£350
Málaga1.3%3,1891,862£350
Düsseldorf1.3%1,414656£220
London Heathrow1.3%5,154243£220
Oslo1.2%1,5521,112£220
Pisa1.2%1,0121,419£220
Stockholm1.2%7621,416£220
Bergamo1.2%1,1151,213£220
Faro1.1%2,6201,869£350
Murcia1.1%7961,731£350
Marrakesh1.1%1,7192,462£350
Malta1.1%1,5732,343£350
Tenerife South1.1%4,0713,048£350
Istanbul1.0%3,0192,665£350
Alicante1.0%5,0091,681£350
Lanzarote1.0%2,5532,866£350
Cork1.0%1,391452£220
Vienna1.0%1,0141,443£220
Porto1.0%9201,428£220
Doha1.0%2,3775,410£520
Kos0.9%6742,916£350
Jeddah0.9%6894,957£520
Reus0.8%7071,381£220
Dalaman0.8%2,7233,024£350
Antalya0.8%4,1163,131£350
Shannon0.8%634450£220
Ibiza0.7%1,3631,634£350
Abu Dhabi0.7%1,2575,678£520
Madrid0.7%1,6891,433£220
Menorca0.7%5901,578£350
Las Palmas0.7%1,3543,024£350
Dubrovnik0.7%6041,932£350
Paphos0.7%1,2183,412£350
Addis Ababa0.6%6266,146£520
Corfu0.6%9942,268£350
Cairo0.6%7253,744£520
Milan (Linate)0.5%5521,210£220
Fuerteventura0.4%1,3792,926£350
Budapest0.4%1,2141,655£350
Rome (Ciampino)0.3%1,2921,695£350

Manchester Airport (MAN) disrupted flights slightly more often than the country as a whole in 2025: of 185,355 scheduled flights, 1.8% were cancelled or landed at least three hours late, against an average of 1.6% across 25 UK airports. The headline figure tells you little about any particular trip, because the spread between routes is huge: from fractions of a per cent on the Rome route to 6.6% on flights to Bahrain. Two things usually decide it: where you are flying and who is flying you. These are punctuality statistics from the UK Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) covering the whole of 2025, outbound and return flights together. They do not replace today's departures board: what happens to your flight on the day will come from the airline and the airport.

Routes and carriers: where the risk is higher

From Manchester in 2025 there were 92 routes, each with at least 500 flights. The worst performer was Bahrain: 525 flights, 6.6% disrupted. Next come short domestic routes and island hops: Belfast City 5.4%, Guernsey 5.3%, Isle of Man 3.2%. Small aircraft fly these, and weather knocks them off schedule more easily. The best route is Rome (Ciampino): 1,292 flights and just 0.3%. The busiest route, Dublin with 9,412 flights, runs slightly worse than the airport average: 2.1%.

The large airlines show a steadier picture. Jet2 disrupted 0.9% of flights, Ryanair 1.1%, easyJet UK 2.0%. Worst among carriers with 500+ flights were the regional Aer Lingus UK (8.7%) and Loganair (3.2%).

Winter, weather and money for a disrupted flight

EUROCONTROL, as Network Manager, imposed a weather restriction on arrivals at Manchester on 3.8% of days between January 2018 and September 2026. January and December fare worst, at 9% of days each. Whether it was fog or wind shows up in the reports on the Manchester weather page, which also has a month-by-month breakdown. Such delays carry no compensation: weather and air traffic control decisions count as extraordinary circumstances for the airline, as do strikes by outside services and security threats. A cancellation announced 14 days or more in advance pays nothing either.

So treat the 1.8% as a ceiling on possible payouts. One further adjustment: the CAA records lateness at the UK terminal, while UK261 measures it on arrival at the final destination. The amount depends on route length, and it is already filled in for each route in the table: £220 up to 1,500 km, £350 for 1,500–3,500 km, and on long-haul routes £260 for a 3–4 hour delay and £520 for longer. For Bahrain, 5,262 km away, that means up to £520. On the return flight from an EU country, EU261 applies (€250 / €400 / €600) if the operator is European, or UK261 if it is British. How to submit a claim is set out by the CAA: delays and cancellations.

Airlines at this airport

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Ryanair41,3331.1%1.01%–1.22%129
easyJet UK36,6062.0%1.82%–2.11%422
Jet222,9510.9%0.83%–1.08%34
Ryanair UK8,3071.8%1.5%–2.1%40
Aer Lingus7,5723.5%3.1%–3.9%198
Loganair5,2853.2%2.7%–3.7%129
British Airways5,1651.3%1.0%–1.7%58
easyJet Europe4,1882.3%1.9%–2.8%74
KLM4,1512.6%2.2%–3.1%95
Lufthansa3,5011.7%1.4%–2.2%51
TUI Airways3,4331.7%1.3%–2.2%20
SAS2,8681.2%0.9%–1.7%32
Turkish Airlines2,6810.9%0.6%–1.3%16
Virgin Atlantic2,4421.6%1.2%–2.2%23
Air France2,4232.6%2.0%–3.3%33
Qatar Airways2,3791.0%0.6%–1.4%7
SunExpress2,3780.4%0.2%–0.7%4
Emirates2,1991.4%1.0%–1.9%9
Eurowings2,0692.4%1.8%–3.2%48
Pegasus1,8701.6%1.1%–2.3%19
Swiss1,5691.1%0.7%–1.8%16
Lufthansa City Airlines1,2841.6%1.1%–2.5%19
Brussels Airlines1,2652.1%1.5%–3.1%25
Etihad1,2570.7%0.4%–1.4%4
Finnair1,2544.2%3.2%–5.5%50
Aurigny1,2535.3%4.2%–6.7%41
Vueling1,0262.0%1.3%–3.1%13
TAP Air Portugal9803.1%2.2%–4.4%19
Aer Lingus UK8768.7%7.0%–11%54
EgyptAir7260.6%0.2%–1.4%2
Saudia6890.9%0.4%–1.9%3
Singapore Airlines6582.3%1.4%–3.7%11
Cathay Pacific6562.3%1.4%–3.7%8
Ethiopian Airlines6260.6%0.2%–1.6%1
Iberia Express6180.3%0.1%–1.2%0
Norwegian6132.1%1.2%–3.6%9
Hainan Airlines6123.7%2.5%–5.5%18
Icelandair6001.5%0.8%–2.8%6
Gulf Air5256.6%4.8%–9.0%8

Airlines with at least 500 scheduled flights here in 2025.

Airline pages for this airport: Ryanair · easyJet · Jet2 · Aer Lingus · Loganair · British Airways · Lufthansa · KLM · TUI · SAS · Turkish Airlines · Virgin Atlantic · Air France · Qatar Airways · SunExpress · Emirates · Eurowings · Pegasus · Swiss · Brussels Airlines · Etihad · Finnair · Aurigny · Norwegian · Vueling · TAP Air Portugal · EgyptAir · Saudia · Singapore Airlines · Cathay Pacific · Iberia · Icelandair · Gulf Air

How often weather restricts arrivals at Manchester, by month

Caveats