How often does weather delay flights at Warszawa Modlin?
From January 2018 to September 2026, EUROCONTROL recorded arrival restrictions for weather (regulation reason W) at Warszawa Modlin (WMI) on 31 of 3,150 days (1.0%). The worst month is July: 5% of days and 0.1 minutes of weather delay per arriving flight on average. Calmest: February, March, April, September, October, November, December (0% of days). Weather caused 13% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes at this airport. Source: EUROCONTROL.
Month by month
| Month | Days with weather restrictions | Days with ≥ 1 min per arrival | Minutes per arriving flight |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1% | 0% | 0.00 |
| February | 0% | 0% | 0.02 |
| March | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| April | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| May | 1% | 1% | 0.02 |
| June | 2% | 2% | 0.04 |
| July | 5% | 2% | 0.11 |
| August | 1% | 0% | 0.01 |
| September | 0% | 0% | 0.01 |
| October | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| November | 0% | 0% | 0.01 |
| December | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
Share of days on which EUROCONTROL's network manager limited arrivals because of weather at or around the airport (regulation reason W), 2018–2026. Minutes per arriving flight = weather-regulation delay ÷ all arrivals that month. Worst weeks of the year: week 29 (8%), week 28 (6%), week 25 (5%).
Year by year
| Year | Days with weather restrictions | Minutes per arriving flight | Arrivals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 of 364 | 0.10 | 9,869 |
| 2019 | 8 of 365 | 0.06 | 9,940 |
| 2020 | 1 of 336 | 0.00 | 4,335 |
| 2021 | 0 of 354 | 0.00 | 6,556 |
| 2022 | 0 of 364 | 0.00 | 10,623 |
| 2023 | 0 of 364 | 0.00 | 10,759 |
| 2024 | 0 of 365 | 0.00 | 8,684 |
| 2025 | 0 of 365 | 0.00 | 5,956 |
| 2026 (Jan–Sep) | 0 of 273 | 0.00 | 9,947 |
2020–2021: far fewer flights during the pandemic.
Weather among all causes
| Cause of arrival regulation | Share of delay minutes |
|---|---|
| Aerodrome capacity | 56% |
| Air traffic control capacity | 16% |
| Weather | 13% |
| Atc staffing | 8% |
| Airspace management | 2% |
Causes with at least 2% of all arrival-regulation delay minutes, 2018–2026.
What the weather was like on those days
| In the airport's weather reports (METAR, 05–21 UTC) | Days with weather restrictions | Other days | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm reported | 32% | 4.8% | 6.7× |
| Fog or visibility under 800 m | 9.7% | 10% | 0.9× |
| Cloud base at or below 200 ft | 3.2% | 5.8% | 0.6× |
| Gusts of 30 knots or more | 9.7% | 4.5% | 2.1× |
| Crosswind of 20 knots or more on the best runway | 0.0% | 0.1% | — |
| Snow | 6.5% | 9.6% | 0.7× |
| Freezing rain or drizzle | 0.0% | 1.0% | — |
On 48% of the restriction days none of these showed up in the airport's own reports: restrictions are also set on forecasts, for weather on the approach or elsewhere in the area, and when the wind direction forces a less efficient runway layout. The weather is what came with the delays, not proof of their cause. Based on 3,150 days with full METAR coverage.
The heaviest days
| Date and reported weather | Weather delay, minutes | Arrivals | Minutes per arrival |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 July 2019 none of these in the airport's METAR | 311 | 32 | 9.7 |
| 16 July 2018 none of these in the airport's METAR | 223 | 28 | 8.0 |
| 4 February 2019 Snow | 130 | 30 | 4.3 |
| 23 June 2018 Gusts of 30 knots or more (gusts to 34 kt) | 78 | 24 | 3.2 |
| 19 September 2019 Thunderstorm reported | 71 | 29 | 2.4 |
What these numbers cover
- Only delays from air traffic flow management (ATFM) regulations on arrivals are counted — not all delays, not departures, and not cancellations or diversions. A day with restrictions does not mean every flight was late.
- Airport ICAO code EPMO, IATA WMI. Ranking by share of restriction days: 70 of 94 airports on this site.