Airport Disruption Odds

Aer Lingus at Belfast City: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 14,613 scheduled Aer Lingus flights to and from Belfast City in 2025, 4.4% (95% range 4.1%–4.8%) were cancelled (517) or at least 3 hours late (about 129). Other airlines at Belfast City: 1.3%; the 95% ranges do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Aer Lingus at all UK airports: 3.3%. Compensation under UK261 is due only when the airline is at fault, so this is an upper estimate. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

4.4%3+ hours late or cancelled
14,613scheduled flights 2025
75%on time or within 15 minutes

Compared with other airlines at Belfast City

Flights in 2025Scheduled3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Aer Lingus at Belfast City14,6134.4%4.1%–4.8%
All other airlines at Belfast City13,3461.3%1.13%–1.52%
Aer Lingus at all UK airports71,9873.3%3.15%–3.41%

The 95% ranges of Aer Lingus and the other airlines at Belfast City do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Shares depend on where an airline flies: routes to islands and to airports with frequent weather or air traffic control restrictions raise them without the airline being at fault.

Largest airlines at Belfast City

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
British Airways6,1081.5%1.2%–1.9%79
easyJet4,8000.8%0.6%–1.1%18
KLM1,4421.8%1.2%–2.6%24
Loganair9961.8%1.1%–2.8%9

Aer Lingus flights at Belfast City in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)14,613
Cancelled517
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 129
On time or within 15 minutes75% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights14 minutes

Departures and arrivals

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Departures from Belfast City7,3124.2%3.7%–4.7%
Arrivals at Belfast City7,3014.7%4.2%–5.2%

By destination

Destination3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeFlightsUK261
Birmingham4.9%4.2%–5.6%3,631£220
Manchester4.2%3.5%–5.1%2,414£220
Leeds Bradford5.3%4.5%–6.3%2,328£220
Edinburgh5.0%4.2%–6.0%2,153£220
Southampton2.7%2.1%–3.6%1,702£220
Glasgow3.0%2.0%–4.4%828£220
Cardiff2.9%1.9%–4.3%728£220
East Midlands2.6%1.4%–4.7%388£220
Exeter3.4%1.9%–5.9%327£220

Destinations with at least 100 scheduled Aer Lingus flights in 2025; 8 smaller destinations are included in the totals only. Linked routes have their own page with all airlines.

By operating company

Operator (as listed by the CAA)Scheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Emerald Airlines UK (Aer Lingus Regional)13,9193.8%3.5%–4.2%411
Emerald Airlines (Aer Lingus Regional)4474.3%2.7%–6.5%16
Aer Lingus24737%31%–43%90

The operating company decides whether UK261 or EU261 applies to flights from an EU airport.

Caveats