Airport Disruption Odds

LOT at London Heathrow: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 2,142 scheduled LOT flights to and from London Heathrow in 2025, 0.8% (95% range 0.5%–1.3%) were cancelled (14) or at least 3 hours late (about 4). Other airlines at London Heathrow: 1.8%; the 95% ranges do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. LOT at all UK airports: 0.7%. Compensation under UK261 is due only when the airline is at fault, so this is an upper estimate. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.8%3+ hours late or cancelled
2,142scheduled flights 2025
69%on time or within 15 minutes

Compared with other airlines at London Heathrow

Flights in 2025Scheduled3h+ late or cancelled95% range
LOT at London Heathrow2,1420.8%0.5%–1.3%
All other airlines at London Heathrow479,6981.8%1.77%–1.84%
LOT at all UK airports2,6610.7%0.4%–1.1%

The 95% ranges of LOT and the other airlines at London Heathrow do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Shares depend on where an airline flies: routes to islands and to airports with frequent weather or air traffic control restrictions raise them without the airline being at fault.

Largest airlines at London Heathrow

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
British Airways243,7991.6%1.55%–1.65%3,078
Virgin Atlantic23,1401.7%1.58%–1.92%327
American Airlines15,8384.6%4.3%–5.0%442
Lufthansa14,7161.6%1.4%–1.9%231
United Airlines13,8013.4%3.1%–3.7%253
Aer Lingus13,5601.1%0.92%–1.27%127
SAS9,8870.9%0.70%–1.06%76
Swiss8,7011.3%1.1%–1.6%111

LOT flights at London Heathrow in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)2,142
Cancelled14
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 4
On time or within 15 minutes69% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights14 minutes

Departures and arrivals

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Departures from London Heathrow1,0711.0%0.6%–1.8%
Arrivals at London Heathrow1,0710.7%0.3%–1.3%

By destination

Destination3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeFlightsUK261
Warsaw0.8%0.5%–1.3%2,142£220

Destinations with at least 100 scheduled LOT flights in 2025. Linked routes have their own page with all airlines.

Caveats