Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester – Atlanta: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 608 scheduled flights between Manchester and Atlanta in 2025, 2.5% (95% range 1.5%–4.0%) were cancelled (12) or at least 3 hours late (about 3) — roughly 1 in 41. That is worse than 85% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 6,581 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 41flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)608
Cancelled12
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 3
On time or within 15 minutes85% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights9 minutes
Distance6,581 km (great circle, MAN–ATL)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Manchester3042.0%0.9%–4.2%
To Manchester3042.9%1.6%–5.5%

Operated by Virgin Atlantic (608 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
6,581 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Manchester EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 3.8% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Atlanta.