Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester – Bahrain: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 525 scheduled flights between Manchester and Bahrain in 2025, 6.6% (95% range 4.8%–9.0%) were cancelled (8) or at least 3 hours late (about 27) — roughly 1 in 15. That is worse than 98% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 5,262 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

6.6%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 15flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)525
Cancelled8
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 27
On time or within 15 minutes75% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights37 minutes
Distance5,262 km (great circle, MAN–BAH)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Manchester2627.5%4.9%–11%
To Manchester2635.6%3.4%–9.1%

Operated by Gulf Air (525 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
5,262 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Manchester EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 3.8% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Bahrain.