Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester – Bergamo: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,115 scheduled flights between Manchester and Bergamo in 2025, 1.2% (95% range 0.7%–2.0%) were cancelled (2) or at least 3 hours late (about 11) — roughly 1 in 86. That is worse than 51% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,213 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 86flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,115
Cancelled2
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 11
On time or within 15 minutes53% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights28 minutes
Distance1,213 km (great circle, MAN–BGY)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Manchester5570.9%0.4%–2.1%
To Manchester5581.4%0.7%–2.8%

Operated by Ryanair (1,109 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,213 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Bergamo EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 4.4% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Bergamo.