Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester – Brussels: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,266 scheduled flights between Manchester and Brussels in 2025, 2.1% (95% range 1.5%–3.1%) were cancelled (25) or at least 3 hours late (about 2) — roughly 1 in 47. That is worse than 81% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 536 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.1%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 47flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,266
Cancelled25
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 2
On time or within 15 minutes62% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights17 minutes
Distance536 km (great circle, MAN–BRU)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Manchester6332.2%1.3%–3.7%
To Manchester6332.1%1.2%–3.5%

Operated by Brussels Airlines (1,265 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
536 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Brussels EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 17% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Brussels.