Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester – Hong Kong: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 657 scheduled flights between Manchester and Hong Kong in 2025, 2.3% (95% range 1.4%–3.7%) were cancelled (8) or at least 3 hours late (about 7) — roughly 1 in 44. That is worse than 83% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 9,620 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £520 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.3%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 44flights
£520UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)657
Cancelled8
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 7
On time or within 15 minutes74% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights16 minutes
Distance9,620 km (great circle, MAN–HKG)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Manchester3302.7%1.4%–5.1%
To Manchester3271.8%0.8%–3.9%

Operated by Cathay Pacific (656 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
9,620 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£520 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Manchester EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 3.8% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Hong Kong (Chek Lap Kok).