Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester – Rome (Ciampino): how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 1,292 scheduled flights between Manchester and Rome (Ciampino) in 2025, 0.3% (95% range 0.1%–0.8%) were cancelled (1) or at least 3 hours late (about 3) — roughly 1 in 323. That is better than 92% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,695 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £350 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

0.3%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 323flights
£350UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)1,292
Cancelled1
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 3
On time or within 15 minutes80% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights11 minutes
Distance1,695 km (great circle, MAN–CIA)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Manchester6460.2%0.0%–0.9%
To Manchester6460.5%0.2%–1.4%

Operated by Ryanair (1,214 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,695 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£350 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Manchester EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 3.8% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Rome (Ciampino).