Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester – Sandefjord Torp: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 764 scheduled flights between Manchester and Sandefjord Torp in 2025, 2.2% (95% range 1.4%–3.5%) were cancelled (2) or at least 3 hours late (about 15) — roughly 1 in 45. That is worse than 82% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,007 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

2.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 45flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)764
Cancelled2
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 15
On time or within 15 minutes82% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights15 minutes
Distance1,007 km (great circle, MAN–TRF)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Manchester3821.6%0.7%–3.4%
To Manchester3822.9%1.6%–5.1%

Operated by Ryanair UK (764 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,007 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Manchester EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 3.8% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Sandefjord(Torp).