Airport Disruption Odds

Manchester – Stockholm: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 762 scheduled flights between Manchester and Stockholm in 2025, 1.2% (95% range 0.6%–2.2%) were cancelled (9) or at least 3 hours late (about 0) — roughly 1 in 85. That is worse than 52% of 834 busy UK routes (median 1.1%). The route is 1,416 km, so when the airline is at fault UK261 compensation is £220 per passenger. This is an upper estimate: weather and air traffic control problems give no right to compensation. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.2%3+ hours late or cancelled
1 in 85flights
£220UK261 per passenger if the airline is at fault

The route in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)762
Cancelled9
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 0
On time or within 15 minutes73% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights12 minutes
Distance1,416 km (great circle, MAN–ARN)

By direction

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
From Manchester3811.3%0.6%–3.0%
To Manchester3811.0%0.4%–2.7%

Operated by SAS (679 scheduled flights).

What you may be owed

DistanceDelay at arrivalUK261 compensation
1,416 km3 hours or more, or a cancellation less than 14 days ahead£220 per passenger

Weather is a frequent reason why no compensation is due: at Stockholm Arlanda EUROCONTROL restricted arrivals for weather on 3.4% of days in 2018–2026.

Caveats

CAA destination name: Stockholm (Arlanda).