Airport Disruption Odds

Aer Lingus at Manchester: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 8,489 scheduled Aer Lingus flights to and from Manchester in 2025, 4.5% (95% range 4.0%–4.9%) were cancelled (293) or at least 3 hours late (about 86). Other airlines at Manchester: 1.7%; the 95% ranges do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Aer Lingus at all UK airports: 3.3%. Compensation under UK261 is due only when the airline is at fault, so this is an upper estimate. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

4.5%3+ hours late or cancelled
8,489scheduled flights 2025
70%on time or within 15 minutes

Compared with other airlines at Manchester

Flights in 2025Scheduled3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Aer Lingus at Manchester8,4894.5%4.0%–4.9%
All other airlines at Manchester176,8661.7%1.59%–1.71%
Aer Lingus at all UK airports71,9873.3%3.15%–3.41%

The 95% ranges of Aer Lingus and the other airlines at Manchester do not overlap, so the difference is unlikely to be chance. Shares depend on where an airline flies: routes to islands and to airports with frequent weather or air traffic control restrictions raise them without the airline being at fault.

Largest airlines at Manchester

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Ryanair49,6421.2%1.13%–1.32%169
easyJet41,0582.0%1.86%–2.13%498
Jet222,9510.9%0.83%–1.08%34
Loganair5,2853.2%2.7%–3.7%129
British Airways5,1651.3%1.0%–1.7%58
Lufthansa4,7851.7%1.4%–2.1%70
KLM4,1512.6%2.2%–3.1%95
TUI3,4331.7%1.3%–2.2%20

Aer Lingus flights at Manchester in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)8,489
Cancelled293
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 86
On time or within 15 minutes70% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights17 minutes

Departures and arrivals

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Departures from Manchester4,2514.7%4.1%–5.3%
Arrivals at Manchester4,2384.3%3.7%–4.9%

By destination

Destination3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeFlightsUK261
Dublin3.1%2.6%–3.6%4,685£220
Belfast City6.1%5.2%–7.1%2,459£220
New York JFK7.6%5.8%–9.8%684£520
Orlando4.2%2.8%–6.5%471£520
Bridgetown6.4%3.7%–11%184£520

Destinations with at least 100 scheduled Aer Lingus flights in 2025; 9 smaller destinations are included in the totals only. Linked routes have their own page with all airlines.

By operating company

Operator (as listed by the CAA)Scheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Aer Lingus7,5723.5%3.1%–3.9%198
Aer Lingus UK8768.7%7.0%–11%54

The operating company decides whether UK261 or EU261 applies to flights from an EU airport.

Caveats