Airport Disruption Odds

TUI at Manchester: how often flights are 3+ hours late or cancelled

Of 3,433 scheduled TUI flights to and from Manchester in 2025, 1.7% (95% range 1.3%–2.2%) were cancelled (20) or at least 3 hours late (about 38). Other airlines at Manchester: 1.8%; the 95% ranges overlap, so the difference may be chance. TUI at all UK airports: 1.2%. Compensation under UK261 is due only when the airline is at fault, so this is an upper estimate. Source: UK CAA.

Data: CAA punctuality statistics, calendar year 2025 (published 25 February 2026) · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

1.7%3+ hours late or cancelled
3,433scheduled flights 2025
61%on time or within 15 minutes

Compared with other airlines at Manchester

Flights in 2025Scheduled3h+ late or cancelled95% range
TUI at Manchester3,4331.7%1.3%–2.2%
All other airlines at Manchester181,9221.8%1.72%–1.85%
TUI at all UK airports16,5911.2%1.00%–1.33%

The 95% ranges overlap, so TUI is not clearly better or worse than the other airlines at Manchester. Shares depend on where an airline flies: routes to islands and to airports with frequent weather or air traffic control restrictions raise them without the airline being at fault.

Largest airlines at Manchester

AirlineScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeCancelled
Ryanair49,6421.2%1.13%–1.32%169
easyJet41,0582.0%1.86%–2.13%498
Jet222,9510.9%0.83%–1.08%34
Aer Lingus8,4894.5%4.0%–4.9%293
Loganair5,2853.2%2.7%–3.7%129
British Airways5,1651.3%1.0%–1.7%58
Lufthansa4,7851.7%1.4%–2.1%70
KLM4,1512.6%2.2%–3.1%95

TUI flights at Manchester in 2025

Scheduled flights (both directions)3,433
Cancelled20
Operated but 3 hours or more lateabout 38
On time or within 15 minutes61% of operated flights
Average delay of operated flights22 minutes

Departures and arrivals

DirectionScheduled flights3h+ late or cancelled95% range
Departures from Manchester1,7151.1%0.7%–1.7%
Arrivals at Manchester1,7182.3%1.7%–3.1%

By destination

Destination3h+ late or cancelled95% rangeFlightsUK261
Cancún2.1%1.2%–3.6%580£520
Sharm El Sheikh2.7%1.6%–4.7%470£520
Boa Vista0.7%0.2%–2.1%418£520
Sal (Cape Verde)1.2%0.5%–2.9%400£520
Hurghada1.5%0.7%–3.3%389£520
Dalaman0.4%0.1%–2.0%275£350
Antalya0.9%0.2%–3.1%230£350
Marrakesh1.4%0.5%–4.2%208£350
Agadir3.4%1.6%–6.8%208£350
Dubrovnik0.0%0.0%–3.6%102£350

Destinations with at least 100 scheduled TUI flights in 2025; 19 smaller destinations are included in the totals only. Linked routes have their own page with all airlines.

Caveats